Rodolfo: The Future Will Be Better Tomorrow

January 17, 2012

Random dude leaves one game company for another

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 7:40 pm

UPDATE Jan 19th: Just two days after I wrote my original post, Trion announced that they have raised $85m in new funding from Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan as well as existing investor Bertelsmann, thus bringing the entire funding to date to an obscene (and highly enviable) $185m. Despite the fact that none of the previous investor participated in the round and that no VC put money either, not a single journalist questioned the news or Trion’s execution record ($85m buys you a lot of ads). Hardly a sign of confidence in their future.

UPDATE Jan 24th: Today Trion announced that RIFT is going to be available on EA’s digital publishing platform Origin. So much for becoming a publisher, eh Trion?

So,

saw the news on Venturebeat that a Trion (they make an MMO called RIFT) executive defected for CCP (they make another MMO called EVE Online and own White Wolf). None of the companies are named after a dead dog (creepy!). CCP raised a sliver of VC funding compared to Trion but they have been around for longer.

Just wanted to share some of my thoughts, assume that I am full of doodoo because I could end up competing with both companies. Not really but we are in the same industry and it’s not always classy for a CEO to speak out about its peers (but hey ho who gives a fuck).

Basically the underlying problem is that Trion raised too much money. With that cash they were expected to release multiple games and one WoW-killer. Which obviously didn’t happen and the rifts gimmick has gotten stale as it’s not enough to justify switching costs for their users.

Recently (I am assuming, having no inside knowledge) their investors who put money at crazy valuations in exchange of exclusivity in some regions (mostly Asian media funds) found themselves without money or a game to sell. So Trion switched to making noises about being a “publisher” and the fact that they wanted to make a “platform” - obviously in order to do that they need more money and what better chance to do that than going IPO?

Basically their plan was to scam new investors to pay off the old investors. Exactly the same thing Zynga did, only they did it with much bigger stats like revenues, users and growth. But as Zynga went IPO and fizzled (last private round was at $14, went public at $10 and today closed at $9.22) Trion is discovering that public markets like growth.

Maybe I’m reading too much into this but the departure of Trion’s publishing officer signals a shift in their strategy, probably they will not devote significant resources to this rumored “publishing platform” but the reality is that A) they will cut costs and this means reducing unused infrastructure (which is already happening and they are spinning it as trial servers, yeah riiight) B) Lay off customer support and some of the live team B) possibly sell one of their games like Gazillion did to reduce overheads and generate free cash flow D) Reduce price of subscription for RIFT (happened already) so they can massage the numbers and show a surge in subscriptions ahead of E) raising more money from institutional investors, maybe publishers to keep going and aim for a trade sale or maybe still an IPO (UPDATE: lo and behold it happened two days after this post).

Either way I don’t want to be Trion or THQ right now (see $THQI stock price for lulz, unless you are a stockholder in which case no lulz but lots of tears). Late stage Zynga investors are stuffed but the company is healthy and has a massive user base and it’s unlikely to go titsup.

If your model is about selling MMO subscriptions, rely heavily on retailers for distribution, do not have mobile or social products and your company name is not Blizzard - you are all kinds of fucked. Not an “if” question but a “when” one.

December 18, 2011

How to raise funding on AngelList when you are the underdog

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 6:23 pm

TechCrunch Europe published my post about using AngelList to raise funds for your startup. Since then I have made some updates to the post and there you go:

REVEALED: 35 WAYS TO PLEASE YOUR ANGELS

(Seriously I should be writing quizzes for Cosmo)

This post was originally meant to be called “How to raise seed funding on AngelList when you are the underdog” but then I figured out that I keep clicking  @hblodget’s stories and lifted his used-car-salesman gonzo style. I’m sure someone can write a nicer blog post about this. I just want to focus on the basics.

You see people raising millions for what appears to be stupid shit. But if you dig deeper you find out that the founders sold a company to Cisco for ½ billion (and so their cheese sandwich restaurant got funded) or built several huge companies (and their photosharing app with no users or purpose got $41m) or pretty much built Facebook (and investors pile up on their social network who can only have 150 friends like it cures cancer) or had multiple rounds of funding already and a completely finished product with tons of users and healthy revenues.

So yes it might sound crazy but when you have the full data it’s not that crazy after all.

But what if you are the underdog? How can you get the first infusion of cash for your startup? What if you do not have yet achieved great momentum but still want to try to raise external funding? What if you are in Europe and not the SF Bay Area?

Here’s my notes and advice on funding. I have raised VC funding 3 times (Internet security, mobile security and online games).

Stuff to do before you actually start raising money

1. Create your personal profile on AngelList.

2. Look at successful startups, follow them for a couple of weeks, see how they are doing it?

3. Speak with your network of potential investors before you start fundraising and product development (here’s why from Mark Suster: http://blogs.reuters.com/small-business/2010/11/18/invest-in-lines-not-dots/ and Scott Sage: http://scottsage.tumblr.com/post/6773134413/how-to-raise-vc they give great advice).

4. Basically if every investor in the world gives you terrible feedback on the market before you write code it might be helpful in discovering a flaw in your reasoning.

5. VCs meet startups every day and might have seen a competitor or could hook you up with a co-founder looking at the same space.

6. If you do not have a network of VCs, subscribe to http://startupdigest.com/ and also trawl http://plancast.com/

7. I am assuming you have a team. If not find a technical co-founder. Nobody will invest in you. Best results is a team of 2 or 3.

8. Mine the hell out of your Linkedin connections to get in touch with people who can help you.

9. Find a great lawyer. Ask for intros and free advice. Don’t pay them unless you close funding. If the law firm insists to send you an invoice (but you don’t have to pay it) just walk away. Plenty of good ones around.

10. Find hacker hubs. TechHub in London is an example. Lots of events going on.

11. As you go along you should have your network set up, all investors should be aware of what you are doing.

12. Keep it simple as people need to label you to remember what you are doing (“mobile security” “airbnb for dogs” etc).

13. If you are still in product development make a video of your product to show how it might work.

14. You have an idea but no money to develop? Call all Computer Science professors at all universities in your area. Find students who want to co-found a business or will code for shares in their spare time.

15. Incorporate feedback. A lot of VCs are dumb. But hey a lot of VCs/Angels are really really smart. And they look at startups for a living so give them credit and try to address their concerns.

16. You either find people that fund PowerPoint, or find people that work for free. The latter is more probable.

17. Do not “pay-to-pitch”. Ever. Never accept an offer where you pay a fee in exchange for introductions and advice on how to pitch (unless it’s like a nominal fee for $50, in which case try to void it as well by claiming to be an orphan with a very sick mother or something along those lines). Keiretsu Forum is an example of what to avoid. Unless you are raising $10m+ you cannot generate enough fees for any serious corporate banker to look at you. And for the sake of this discussion you are too early anyway.

18. Only when you have done a lot of this, list your startup on AngelList.

2. Once you start fundraising:

19. All email has to be replied immediately. Like, now. Like, real now. Even if it’s 1am and you just got in bed after a very long day.

20. If a meteorite hits your house and kills your cat, people will understand if you take up to 24 hours to reply.

21. If it takes more time to reply, better be a fucking tsunami, Godzilla, or both.

22. You should always run on inbox zero. If you fail that before you launch, certainly with more money and pressure it’s not going to get better.

23. Install Rapportive. How people can be efficient by using anything than Gmail that I cannot understand.

24. Since you might want to compress your funding as much as possible, this might mean emailing 100+ people to let them know you are fundraising and ask for a conference call or a meeting. As the saying goes, there are two types of gunslingers, the quick and the dead. Same goes for email.

25. Find small angels who are willing to commit some capital to you can add them to the investor roster. Being first is being lonely so fill the roster fast.

26. Have one item of good news per week. Interesting stuff. Nobody cares that you had “great progress” if it’s not tangible. On Friday morning all your startup followers on AngelList get a recap email with your weekly updates.

27. Having impressive advisors helps, make sure you add them one at a time for maximum effect. Also, make sure that they are not your mom. Do not pay them cash, and have a 3-year vesting period so if they do not work after few months you can ditch them with minimum loss. Don’t screw them either.

28. Negotiate a larger round and find a lead investor. Once you secure their money you are free to go and raise the rest of the round but you don’t have to deal with millions of tiny corrections to your funding documents.

29. Professional investors either commit or they don’t. There is no between, only wishful thinking. If they do not commit in 48 hours do not waste time. Many VCs don’t know how to say no.

30. Be thankful to those who say no. Do not argue with them. They just did a huge favor by saving lots of time. Move on. They invest in people not products. Draw your own conclusions.

31. Don’t ask for referral or introductions. They said no. Move on, the girl said no. Once you figure out that raising funding is like dating things tend to get easier. Assuming you are skilled at picking up a great date.

32. “Weekend” angels on the other hand might want to see a lot of documentation and handholding before they say yes. Sometimes they just waste your time. Guess what? If you still need the money then suck it up.

33. Bay Area startups have access to 10x the capital compared to UK ones. Deal with it.

34. Kayak, Airbnb and Skype. Go to San Francisco for a month and try to raise money there. Let your UK contacts know that you are leaving.

35. Never put forward ultimatums that you cannot enforce. “Give us the money by Monday” etc. You don’t want to be the one whose bluff gets called out.

Most importantly: one bargains with equals or near equals!

In every negotiation, you need to know when to leave. If an investor adds bullshit terms to a deal after a term sheet is signed, walk away. And leave negative feedback on http://www.thefunded.com/ (maybe checking there before signing would be a good step).

You do not want to be in a situation where you are forced to raise money from an investor that you do not like just because you failed to have alternative offers.

Getting offered a term sheet by a VC is a great step, but you want them to do a due diligence before that. Otherwise they might have a change of heart and you cannot shop your deal around (and generally be considered “damaged goods” by other investors).

Hope this helps. Ping me at @rodolfor for feedback and commentsw

September 27, 2011

LSE links roundup

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 7:16 pm

UPDATE: (yes it took me 3 months to fix this post)

So,

spoke at a panel at the LSE Alumni society Crossfire event about Success and Failure as Entrepreneur are Essential for Long-Term Success alongside Chris Robson @ Youwish and Charles Delingpole @ Marketinvoice and it was such a nice event. Mentioned a lot of stuff and got several emails inquiring about links so decided to do a roundup here of the stuff that I found useful in my entrepreneurial journeys.

Books you might want to read:

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Art-Start-Guy-Kawasaki/dp/1591840562/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1317159517&sr=1-1

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Lean-Startup-Eric-Ries/dp/0307887898/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1317159558&sr=1-1

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Crossing-Chasm-Marketing-Technology-Mainstream/dp/1841120634/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1317159577&sr=1-1

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Blue-Ocean-Strategy-Uncontested-Competition/dp/1591396190/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1317159604&sr=1-1

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Innovators-Dilemma-Technologies-Cause-Great/dp/0875845851/ref=pd_sim_b3

Also if you are leading a company this video is quite relevant:

http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/derek_sivers_how_to_start_a_movement.html

And these sites are great source of advice and funding opportunities:

http://angel.co

http://vh.co

http://thefunded.com

http://startupdigest.com/

October 31, 2010

When in soma…

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 10:41 pm

Halloween in San Francisco is pretty pro.

June 16, 2010

My new new thing

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 9:04 pm

AT

So,

let me share a story.

I have been researching Artificial Intelligence for few months now. In the 90s it was a buzzword and lot of money was wasted on dubious products sporting various “AI technologies” - usually nothing more than neural network or some fuzzying. It became soon taboo to mention it and the world moved on.

In the academic world however the fire was still burning under the ashes and kept pushing new boundaries in the field. Cheaper computing power, better understanding of the brain, real practical applications made sure to advance the state of AI. New conferences are sprouting up which is usually a sign of money flowing into the market.

I had a vague idea of starting a new game company to develop an MMORPG and was looking at a portfolio of technologies to roll out as “next-gen” features and AI was one of them. Went to the Game Developers Conference in San Francisco planning to check out a series of talk (it’s 5 days with 10 events at the same time, completely crazy and impossible to single-man it). I ended up spending all my time at the Artificial Intelligence track. Was captivated by the advancements, the vision of some of the people involved that in the end decided it was going to be the major defining feature of the new game I’m working on.

So there you go, AI is my new new thing. It’s more of a calling than a career change for me.

January 2, 2010

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 1:59 am

Fuck me last year was interesting and the new one started with a blast. My company ended up on most of the media in Europe and North America and landed me on the telly. Fuck yeah.

September 19, 2009

Join Kiva

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 1:10 pm


July 17, 2009

A visualization of my posts

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 12:21 pm

June 14, 2009

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 1:08 pm

So,

yeah came to realize that the internet dating model is completely broken. I’m sure there is an entrepreneurial opportunity there but I cannot go near that at the moment. Too busy watching dinosaurs fucking robots. Yeah.


So I’m 2.5kg away from the weight target I was lifting pre-injury but then what I really have no idea if I’m doing that for myself or as a distraction from something else - need to go on a trip to clear my mind preferably the desert and not a place filled with nice people and golf courses like where I am now.


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July 22, 2008

Last.fm API

Filed under: Uncategorized — Rodolfo @ 12:18 pm

So last.fm published a new api and an architect designed a script to visualize your playlist and this is how mine looks like

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